15.09.2025
russia has changed its tactics for striking the Ukrainian energy system, extending attacks to the western regions of the country. The enemy’s target is not only generation facilities but also gas infrastructure, which could complicate the import of energy resources. However, despite the seriousness of the challenges, while the application of emergency or stabilization outage schedules is possible, a complete blackout in Ukraine is not expected this winter.
This opinion was expressed by Ivan Grygoruk, Vice President of Energy Club, in a comment for the television program “Podrobytsi.”
According to him, the enemy is deliberately attacking energy facilities that have already been prepared for the autumn-winter period in order to cause maximum destruction.
“These shellings are carried out with the aim of causing maximum destruction to generation facilities that are already ready for the autumn-winter period,” noted Ivan Grygoruk.
In addition to generation, the gas transmission infrastructure in western Ukraine has also come under attack.
“We have gas storage facilities in Western Ukraine that have also been shelled. We have gas compressor stations that have been shelled. In this way, the enemy wants to limit the possibility of electricity imports or emergency assistance, or gas imports as part of preparations for the autumn-winter peak,” explained the Vice President of Energy Club.
Despite pessimistic scenarios, the expert believes that the energy system will withstand. He urged Ukrainians to prepare for possible restrictions, particularly by stocking up on power banks, but reassured that systemic cascading accidents would be avoided.
“With massive, active, and dense shelling, indeed, there may be restrictions on access to capacity for industrial enterprises or ordinary household consumers. But, in fact, I think there will be no such mass accidents, as people call ‘blackouts’—meaning systemic cascading accidents in the power system,” predicts Ivan Grygoruk.
The Minister of Energy of Ukraine, Svitlana Grynchuk, also confirmed that currently, there is sufficient generating capacity and electricity transmission capability to supply consumers. According to her, active work is underway to protect facilities, and backup power supply schemes are being developed in case key infrastructure nodes are damaged.
Currently, thanks to the warm weather, electricity consumption remains low, and there is no talk of outages. At the same time, energy workers urge Ukrainians to use electricity rationally, especially in the morning and evening hours, to reduce the load on the system during the cold season.
